(03-05-2026, 12:11 PM)quintessentone Wrote: From what I am hearing from veterans on independent podcasts is what they are all saying is that no war can or has ever been won strictly from bombing strikes but that boots on the ground are needed.
Generally speaking, that is kinda sorta true, but a flat statement of such is not nuanced enough. It really depends on what the objective is, what a "win" looks like. If the objective is to seize and hold ground,then yes, "boots on the ground" are necessary. You can deny ground to the enemy from the air alone, but in order to seize or hold that ground for yourself, you need people there to do it.
So, the flaw in that statement as a flat statement is the unspoken assumption that the US wants to annex Iran as if it were the 51st state. It assumes that the US wants to hold the ground for the US. It does not account for the notion that perhaps the US only wants to disrupt the command structure so that Iranians can retake and hold their own ground.
When viewed that way, the question of "boots on the ground" becomes "whose boots?" From what I've seen, there probably ARE "western boots on the ground" already, in a very limited way - probably Mossad, CIA "Special Activities Directorate", and some Special Operations troops from western nations, likely primarily the US. Not enough to actually hold any ground, but perhaps enough to assist the Iranians in holding their own ground.
Otherwise, it looks like the "boots on the ground" in Iran consist of Iranians (primarily MEK at this stage) and I hear in the wind that Iraqi Kurds from Iraqi Kurdistan have also gone into Iran, likely with US supplied weapons and "advisors". That opens a whole 'nuther can of worms. Kurds are an ethnic subgroup that have been fighting across the middle east for a really long time, in Turkey, Syria, Iraq, and Iran. They've wanted their own "homeland", their own Kurdish nation, for a long time now... so what is going to be their ask for assisting in Iran? MEK is a Socialist organization, probably not ideal to hand the entire country of Iran over to them.
Personally, I think a better solution would be to employ Iranians as the "boots on the ground", and let them fight for their own country. Just give them the weapons and maybe some advisors to train them, and turn them loose to retake their own country. They've already demonstrated a willingness, by fighting the Clerics even when they have no weapons to fight with other than sheer determination. Probably between 30,000 and 40,000 of them have died over the last month or two at the hands of the IRGC, and they died fighting without weapons. Give them weapons so they have a fighting chance, and let them go to work retaking their own country.
That's all the "boots on the ground" this war really needs.
Quote:With Iran having prepared for such a war as this over the last 20 years, how can anyone think that a ground assault will succeed?
That is a non-sequitur. it "doesn't follow". Every nation is "prepared for war" - they all have troops and weapons and such... but the fact is, in every single war ever fought, one side has "won" and one has "lost", despite the preparations of the losing side. Simply being prepared is not enough, and what one is prepared FOR also has a large bearing on the outcome. Iran has been preparing for a Reagan era conflict, 40 years of military advancements too late. They prepared for one sort of conflict, but were given another sort altogether. That adds up to unprepared rather than prepared. How do you fight US "boots on the ground" who never come?
Quote:Others are asking whether or not Israel will nuke Iran to level the land so as to be able to take all the oil and minerals. (Venezuela's are not enough it would seem.)
Indeed, others ARE asking that question. They ask it in every single conflict of the 21st century. Always that same question of resource extraction, and it never really happens. Iraq still has her oil... the same oil those folks insisted the US was there to "seize". Afghanistan still has all of her mineral wealth... the same minerals those others insisted we were there to seize. "Others" always ask that same question, but it rarely ever pans out as the right question to be asking. From that, I have to conclude that they are either just not asking the right questions, or else are deliberately trying to distract folks from the real questions... or more specifically, the real answers to the question "why are we there?"
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“Trouble rather the tiger in his lair than the sage among his books. For to you kingdoms and their armies are things mighty and enduring, but to him they are but toys of the moment, to be overturned with the flick of a finger.”
― Gordon R. Dickson, Tactics of Mistake
― Gordon R. Dickson, Tactics of Mistake
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